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Tag:2010 NBA Draft
Posted on: June 26, 2010 10:00 am
Edited on: June 26, 2010 10:02 am
 

I've done this before (and I was awesome at it)


I don't want to spend a lot of time debating who is and isn't on my list of the top 30 NBA prospects set to play college basketball next season because it's all subjective and, as we saw Thursday night, it's impossible to correctly peg everything. If nobody can do it one minute before the draft, I'm not sure how anybody could do it one year before the draft. But I still tried. And, if you don't mind me saying, I did OK last time I tried this.

For whatever reason (which is to say, I don't remember why), I didn't do this last year.

But I did do it immediately after the 2008 NBA Draft.

And I wasn't all that bad.

(Click this link to check it out.)

Again, I listed the top 30 prospects for the 2009 NBA Draft a year in advance (on June 27, 2008). Seven of the 30 prospects I listed were underclassmen who for whatever reason didn't enter the 2009 NBA Draft (Patrick Patterson, Greivis Vasquez, Al-Farouq Aminu, etc.). Which means I had 23 prospects listed who actually ended up eligible for the 2009 NBA Draft, and 22 of those 23 were in fact selected a year later (17 in the first round, five in the second round).

Jeremy Pargo was the only exception.

I had the Gonzaga guard at No. 27.

He was not drafted.

A closer look shows that six of the first 10 players I listed (Blake Griffin, DeMar DeRozan, Hasheem Thabeet, Brandon Jennings, Tyreke Evans and James Harden) actually went in the top 10, and that every one of the first 11 players I listed became first-round picks. So, as they say, take that for what it's worth. Some of it was probably luck, I admit. But it's still pretty clear that I should be running an NBA franchise.
Posted on: June 25, 2010 12:15 pm
 

How CBSSports.com All-Americans fared in draft


----- CBSSports.com First Team All-Americans -----

G: John Wall (No. 1 overall)
G:
Evan Turner (No. 2 overall)
F: Wesley Johnson (No. 4 overall)
F: Da'Sean Butler (No. 42 overall)
F: DeMarcus Cousins (No. 5 overall)

----- CBSSports.com Second Team All-Americans -----

G: Sherron Collins (undrafted)
G: Greivis Vasquez (No. 28 overall)
G: James Anderson (No. 20 overall)
F: Darington Hobson (No. 37 overall)
F: Greg Monroe (No. 7 overall)

----- CBSSports.com Third Team All-Americans -----

G: Jon Sheyer (undrafted)
G: Scottie Reynolds (undrafted)
G: E'Twaun Moore (still in school)
F: Damion James (No. 24 overall)
F: Al-Farouq Aminu (No. 8 overall)
Category: NCAAB
Posted on: June 24, 2010 12:54 pm
Edited on: June 24, 2010 1:52 pm
 

How it will go and how it should go


Nobody can adequately project the NBA Draft outside of the lottery, and you'll see that tonight. Guys will go higher and lower than anybody expects because all it takes is one unexpected selection to set the wackiness in motion. Happens every year. This year will be no different. So I have no interest in telling you who will go 24th, because I haven't the slightest idea.

But I've got the lottery nailed!

(Just watch)

First I'll tell you how the picks will unfold, then I'll tell you how the picks should unfold based on my belief that you should always take the player you believe will have the best NBA career regardless of position. Drafting for a need is stupid. Just look at last year when the Grizzlies, who adore point guard Mike Conley,  thought they didn't need a point guard (in the deepest point guard draft ever) but did need to add a defensive presence. Thus, they shied away from point guards like Tyreke Evans, Jonny Flynn and Stephen Curry and instead took Hasheem Thabeet. It was disastrous. Meantime, Oklahoma City didn't want to take a ballhandler because of Russell Westbrook. So the Thunder passed on Evans, Flynn and Curry to select someone who can play without the ball. That was James Harden. It wasn't disastrous, but it was the wrong pick. And it was made because the Thunder didn't take the best player available regardless of position. I hate it when teams do that. Like I said, it's stupid.

And yet more teams will do it tonight.

That's why the lottery will go just like this ...
  1. John Wall (Kentucky)
  2. Evan Turner (Ohio State)
  3. Derrick Favors (Georgia Tech)
  4. Wesley Johnson (Syracuse)
  5. DeMarcus Cousins (Kentucky)
  6. Greg Monroe (Georgetown)
  7. Ekpe Udoh (Baylor)
  8. Al-Farouq Aminu (Wake Forest)
  9. Luke Babbitt (Nevada)
  10. Ed Davis (North Carolina)
  11. Xavier Henry (Kansas)
  12. Patrick Patterson (Kentucky)
  13. Gordon Hayward (Butler)
  14. Cole Aldrich (Kansas)
But the lottery should go just like this (if the goal is to draft the players with the best careers ahead of them) ...
  1. John Wall (Kentucky)
  2. Evan Turner (Ohio State)
  3. DeMarcus Cousins (Kentucky)
  4. Derrick Favors (Georgia Tech)
  5. Wesley Johnson (Syracuse)
  6. Ekpe Udoh (Baylor)
  7. Greg Monroe (Georgetown)
  8. Avery Bradley (Texas)
  9. Al-Farouq Aminu (Wake Forest)
  10. Xavier Henry (Kansas)
  11. Patrick Patterson (Kentucky)
  12. Luke Babbitt (Nevada)
  13. Gordon Hayward (Butler)
  14. Damion James (Texas)
Extra special sleeper pick: Jordan Crawford (Xavier)

In other words, I think Wall will be the best pro from this class when we look up in three years -- followed by Turner, Cousins, Favors, etc. I think Bradley will be a more effective pro than Babbitt, that James will be a more effective pro than Davis. We'll see how it goes. If I'm embarrassingly wrong, I'll just delete this post and we'll forget it ever happened.
Category: NCAAB
Posted on: June 24, 2010 9:35 am
 

Give me the over at -250, please


It's Draft Day!

Let's gamble on it!

Sportsbook.com, as usual, has some great NBA Draft prop bets. They range from whether DeMarcus Cousins (-350) or Greg Monroe (+225) will be off the board first to how many Kentucky players -- over or under 2.5 -- will be selected in the lottery. Let the record show that, for the latter, I'd happily take the over at -250. John Wall and DeMarcus Cousins are locks, and I think Patrick Patterson will also go in the top 14. Eric Bledsoe could, too. So that seems reasonable to me, though I have been known to wager incorrectly. My other favorite bet is that Damion James (-180) will be off the board before Solomon Alabi (+130).  James will go in the late lottery or just outside of it. Alabi could slip into the 20s. Don't say I never gave you the opportunity to get rich.

Anyway, click this link to check it out.

I'll give you my mock lottery a little later on.

Remember, I nailed all 65 schools in the 2010 NCAA tournament.

There's no reason I can't nail all 14 lottery picks of the NBA Draft, too.
Category: NCAAB
Posted on: June 23, 2010 2:35 pm
Edited on: June 24, 2010 9:36 am
 

Questionable Cousins still must go in top four


The most intriguing debate heading into Thursday's NBA Draft is the debate about DeMarcus Cousins.

Will he be the Rookie of the Year?

Will he be a headache?

Truth is, it won't surprise me if Cousins turns out to be both. The guy is an awesome talent and uneven personality whose reputation is well earned. My guess is that he'll put 18 points and 17 rebounds on somebody in the first month of his NBA career and cause general managers who passed on him to cry, then two months later be caught on camera arguing with an assistant coach, at which point those same general managers will be thankful they passed.

And that's probably how Cousins' career will go.

Lots of nice moments surrounded by lots of shake-your-head moments.

So the question the Nets (picking third) and Timberwolves (picking fourth) must ask themselves is whether they'd rather have Cousins and his issues, or Derrick Favors, Wes Johnson or Greg Monroe, because it's not close in terms of talent. On talent alone, Cousins should probably be the second pick (behind only Kentucky teammate John Wall) and perhaps the No. 1 overall pick. As much as I've criticized Cousins' demeanor, I've never questioned his ability. He's big and strong and skilled, and he was the most dominant force in college basketball last season. I love his potential, but I'm scared he'll never be able to get out of his own way. That's the dilemma. That's always been the dilemma.

And yet I still wonder how much it should matter.

I still really do wonder if we care too much about character.

I mean, I just watched the Lakers win an NBA title with a player who has been accused of rape (Kobe Bryant), a player who ran into the stands to punch a fan (Ron Artest), a player who once demanded a trade from the team that drafted him (Pau Gasol), and a player who married the worst Kardashian just weeks after meeting her (Lamar Odom). Again, those are our world champions. Meantime, the Indianapolis Police Department believes Zach Randolph could be a drug kingpin, and he's an All-Star. Dwyane Wade has gone through some kind of crazy divorce and may or may not be a terrible father, but he's a pretty successful basketball player. Carmelo Anthony once told criminals not to snitch on other criminals, but I'd take him on my team. Tyreke Evans was the driver of a car that carried a murderer away to safety, but he was also the Rookie of the Year.

I could do this forever, but you get the point.

Character matters, sure.

But nothing matters in the NBA more than talent.

You don't win or lose with good people and bad people.

You win or lose with talented players and untalented players.

So I'd take Wall ahead of Cousins and I might -- let me stress might -- take Turner and Favors ahead of him, too. But there's absolutely no way Cousins -- a 6-foot-11, 280-pound forward who averaged 15.1 points and 9.8 rebounds in 23.5 minutes per game as a freshman -- should go any lower than fourth in this draft, absolutely no way Cousins should be selected behind Johnson, Monroe or anybody else not named Wall, Turner or Favors because you don't pass on a potential All-Star unless you're getting a potential All-Star in his place.

There are only four prospects in this draft who project as potential All-Stars.
  • John Wall
  • Evan Turner
  • Derrick Favors
  • DeMarcus Cousins
If they're not the first four picks Thursday night, somebody messed up.
Posted on: May 10, 2010 10:50 am
Edited on: May 10, 2010 10:51 am
 

Half of the underclassmen in the draft will ...


... be selected in the first round, according to DraftExpress.com

Here are the latest projections:
  1. John Wall (Freshman)
  2. Evan Turner (Junior)
  3. DeMarcus Cousins (Freshman)
  4. Derrick Favors (Freshman)
  5. Al-Farouq Aminu (Sophomore)
  6. Cole Alrich (Junior)
  7. Ed Davis (Sophomore)
  8. Wesley Johnson (Junior)
  9. Greg Monroe (Sophomore)
  10. Ekpe Udoh (Junior)
  11. Patrick Patterson (Junior)
  12. Donatas Motiejunas (19-year-old International)
  13. Daniel Orton (Freshman)
  14. Hassan Whiteside (Freshman)
  15. Xavier Henry (Freshman)
  16. Damion James (Senior)
  17. James Anderson (Junior)
  18. Larry Sanders (Junior)
  19. Gordon Hayward (Sophomore)
  20. Stanley Robinson (Senior)
  21. Solomon Alabi (Sophomore)
  22. Paul George (Sophmore)
  23. Kevin Seraphin (20-year-old International)
  24. Eric Bledsoe (Freshman)
  25. Luke Babbitt (Sophomore)
  26. Elliot Williams (Sophomore)
  27. Willie Warren (Sophomore)
  28. Avery Bradley (Freshman)
  29. Quincy Pondexter (Senior)
  30. Devin Ebanks (Sophomore)
By class, it breaks down like this:

Seniors:
3
Juniors: 7
Sophomores: 10
Freshmen: 8
International: 2
Category: NCAAB
Posted on: May 8, 2010 4:39 pm
 

Florida's Tyus withdraws from NBA Draft


Florida's Alex Tyus has withdrawn from the NBA Draft, a source told CBSSports.com on Saturday.

An official announcement is forthcoming.

Tyus averaged 11.8 points and 6.9 rebounds this season.

The 6-foot-8 forward was likely to go undrafted had he not withdrawn.
Category: NCAAB
Posted on: May 8, 2010 1:36 pm
Edited on: May 8, 2010 4:48 pm
 

Johnson, like Moore, withdraws from NBA Draft


Purdue's JaJuan Johnson has withdrawn from the NBA Draft and plans to return to school along with teammate E'Twaun Moore, which should ensure the Boilermakers are the Big Ten favorite and a preseason top three team.

"We're obviously happy to have two players of the caliber of E'Twaun Moore and JaJuan Johnson returning to our team," said Purdue coach Matt Painter. "Their dedication, leadership and work ethic are key components of our team, and we're looking forward to helping them develop as both people and basketball players over the next year."

Johnson averaged 15.5 points and 7.1 rebounds this season.

He was not expected to go in the first round had he remained in the draft.
 
 
 
 
The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com